2015 Match Review

Continuing grim news for international med school grads and some US grads too

There were a lot of happy faces on March 20th as depicted in this brief video of the excitement on the campus of the University of Rochester School of Medicine. Similar scenes took place at every US medical school because 93.9% of the 18,025 graduates of US allopathic medical schools matched in a specialty.

But for the 1093 (6.1%) US graduates who didnt match things were not so bright. These applicants had to go through the Supplemental Offer and Acceptance Program (SOAP) which connects unfilled programs with unmatched students.

Because there were over 8600 unmatched graduates from schools all over the world vying for about 1200 unfilled first-year residency positions, even some US med school grads did not secure a position. One of these unfortunate souls tells her story in this blog.

The 7400 or so new MDs left out in the cold will not be able to pursue their careers. They will not progress into any specialty, nor will they be able to obtain licenses to practice medicine anywhere in this country. Those with substantial tuition debt will have no way to pay off their loans.

The percentage of unmatched US graduates has been relatively stable over the last five years, ranging from 4.9% to 6.3% while the number of first-year residency positions offered has steadily increased by nearly 4000 from 23,420 in 2011 to 27,293 this year.

Graduates of osteopathic medical schools didnt fare quite as well. Of the 2949 osteopathic school applicants, 610 (20.7%) went unmatched, but this percentage has steadily declined from a high of 28.3% in 2011.

International med school grads were much worse off; 2354 (46.9%) US citizens and 3725 (50.6%) non-US citizen graduates of international medical schools did not match. Both of these groups also had declining percentages of unmatched applicants. In addition, about 1900 US citizen graduates of offshore schools either withdrew or did not submit a rank list compared to almost 2700 non-US citizen international graduates who did likewise.

Reentering the match next year is an option, but spending a year outside of clinical medicine greatly reduces ones chances of finding an accredited position.

If you factor in the number of applicants who either withdrew from the match for did not submit a rank list. graduates of international medical schools have well below a 50% chance of matching.

In previous posts here and here, I have warned about the risks involved with attending an offshore medical school. If you are considering attending such a school, I urge you to look at the numbers and think long and hard about your decision.

Source: Advance Data Tables 2015 Residency Match

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So you want to be a Radiologist

A student writes, Ive been following some of your posts and noticed some of the comments by others mentioning that radiology residencies/jobs are drying up and even face the possibility of disappearing completely. Could you explain why? I am currently a senior pre-medical student whos taken a recent liking to radiology after following a few radiologists in a hospital, so I would just like to get some input.”

A colleague, Dr. Saurabh Jha, an Assistant Professor of Radiology at the Hospital of the University of Pennsylvania, has graciously agreed to respond. He can be followed on Twitter @RogueRad.

Should I go into radiology?

I used to be a surgical resident in the UK. One day, I was a little dispirited during a brutal call, and my senior resident asked “do you love surgery?”

“I like surgery,” I replied.

“If you don’t love surgery, love it unconditionally I mean – like loving your child – you will be unhappy.” He warned.

I really liked surgery. I like radiology. I’m happy as a radiologist. Radiology fits my temperament. You don’t have to love radiology like one has to love surgery, but you have to like it. It helps if you like it a lot.

The worst reasons to go in to radiology are to make lots of money and to avoid patients. The days of radiologists making $500 K + 12 weeks of vacation after reading 20,000 studies a year are over. Radiologists doing interventional, ultrasound, mammography and fluoroscopy (such as barium enemas) must speak to patients, and speak well.

Radiology is a tech-heavy field. If you’re excited by technology, you will like it. Radiologists are leading healthcare in IT. If you have an interest in health IT, then some programs will integrate informatics with your training.

Residency involves substantial reading. You have to master anatomy, radiological pathology, and physics, as well as have a decent knowledge of clinical medicine. Prepare for 20-30 hours of reading a week. Radiology is now 24/7. Calls are intense – 12 hour shifts are non-stop. But when you are off, you are off.

Believe it or not, international health – if you are into that – increasingly asks for radiologists. Although you won’t be parachuting in to Sierra Leone or quarantined in Fort Hood.

Will there be jobs when I graduate?

Like Yogi Berra I am reluctant to make predictions, particularly about the future. But radiologists have a poor record in making predictions about jobs. During Hillary care, we thought there would be a surplus of radiologists. We were wrong. During the Bush era we thought there would be a shortage of radiologists. We were wrong.

That’s 0/2. That’s worse than a coin toss.

Here is what I can say. American medicine will not do with fewer imaging tests. American population is not getting younger. Healthcare coverage is not shrinking. There are more lawyers who need something to do. Bottom line: demand for medical imaging will not fall suddenly.

There are emerging number of “empowered consumers” who want to pick up disease before symptoms. They will need radiologists, or someone who understands false positives, to keep their normal kidneys from the surgical pathologist’s slides.

Will residency positions be reduced?

They should but won’t be. That means you have the upper hand – because supply of residency spots exceeds demand. Beware though. The demand for good residencies has increased. The current first and second year residents at my institute are the brightest I’ve ever seen. They’re scary good.

Ask the program director how many of their residents had to do two fellowships before getting a job. Demand that information. You have a right to know how their residents fared in this competitive market.

What should I do to before residency to be a better radiologist?

Rule 1: avoid radiologists and radiology rotations. You’ll have a life time of us. And there’s only so much you’ll learn watching us stare at the screen and bark at the mike.

Improve your knowledge of medicine. Spend time on the ICU, in the ED, at the trauma bay, with the surgeons in the OR. Understand clinical decision making. Understand how doctors think. Understand the ill patient. Become a doctor. I don’t mean that in touchy-feely terms. I mean develop clinical acumen.

The radiologist with a sharp eye and no clinical acumen is a generator of differential diagnoses – though not as good as IBM’s Watson will be. The radiologist with common sense (read clinical acumen) and even a mediocre eye will prevail.

Any other advice?

Join radiology’s professional society – ACR – it’s free and has a vibrant section for trainees. Get yourself employment-specific disability insurance, if possible.

Get in to the habit of exercising or playing sports. You will not be walking as much as your clinical colleagues.

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